Individual Investing Blog

How We’re Navigating Tariff Uncertainty & Staying Focused on Fundamentals

Written by Ellie Perlman | Apr 14, 2025 9:00:00 AM
We’ve been talking about tariffs for months now, internally, with investors, and with our operating partners. Everyone felt the pressure building. Still, when the Trump administration formally announced sweeping new tariffs recently, a 10% blanket tariff on most imports, with potential increases for close trading partners like China and Mexico, it turned a "potential" into a real, operational consideration.

The headlines didn’t spell out “real estate,” but for operators like us, the implications are crystal clear.

We’re talking about construction-related goods like steel, aluminum, electrical components, plumbing supplies, appliances, and flooring, many of which are sourced internationally or heavily impacted by global pricing. Even modest value-add renovations can start feeling more expensive when tariffs come into play.

And yet…no one really knows how long these tariffs will stick. They could deepen, disappear, or stall in negotiations. That’s the nature of today’s environment: policy can shift on a dime, and the market reacts before the ink is even dry.

So what do you do?

If you’re like us at Blue Lake Capital, you don’t try to predict the storm. You focus on keeping the ship steady.
 
 
We don’t ignore volatility, but we don’t build around it either.

 

We're not pretending this round of tariffs doesn’t matter. It does. But it doesn't change the fundamental drivers of multifamily: steady demand, cash flow, and value tied to real assets. People still need a place to live, especially in the middle-to higher income housing space we focus on. Well-maintained, well-operated properties in strong markets are still performing, and they will continue to.

Volatility is a reminder to tighten your strategy, not abandon it. Here’s how we’re doing it:

  • We’re sourcing smarter and sooner.

We’ve been working with our vendors for months to mitigate supply chain risk. That includes early procurement, sourcing from domestic manufacturers when possible, and building flexibility into renovation plans so we’re not dependent on any single supplier or product. These are the kinds of quiet adjustments that help maintain momentum when the external landscape shifts.

  • We’re emphasizing operational efficiency.

We’ve always believed in smart, targeted CapEx. Our renovations aren’t designed to win design awards; they’re designed to boost NOI and improve tenant retention. Every upgrade we make is connected to cash flow. That kind of discipline serves us especially well now, as cost pressure builds across the industry.

  • We’re open to strategic shifts.

We’re not walking away from value-add, but we’re not blindly tied to it either. In some cases, core or core-plus acquisitions, assets that don’t require extensive renovations, offer a better risk-reward profile in the current climate. Our approach is responsive by design: different market conditions call for different plays.

And we’re keeping investors informed, always.
 
Tariffs may not be as exciting to talk about as rent growth or IRRs, but they’re real factors that impact performance. That’s why we include them in our updates and share how we’re actively adapting. Our investors count on us to manage through uncertainty, not pretend it doesn’t exist.
 
A Final Thought

 

There’s a lot we can’t control right now: geopolitics, interest rates, and macro policy to name a few. But what we can control is how we operate: with discipline, transparency, and flexibility.

At Blue Lake, we’ve always believed that long-term success doesn’t come from predicting the market. It comes from being prepared no matter what the market does. 

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About Ellie Perlman
Ellie Perlman is the founder and CEO of Blue Lake Capital, a woman owned multifamily real estate investment firm focused on partnering with family offices and accredited investors to build and preserve generational wealth. Since its founding in 2017, Blue Lake has successfully acquired and operated multifamily assets across high-growth U.S. markets, completing $1B+ in transactions.

At Blue Lake Capital, Ellie and her team work exclusively with family offices and accredited investors, offering carefully curated investment opportunities that emphasize long-term wealth creation, stability, and risk-adjusted returns. A defining aspect of Blue Lake’s investment strategy is its integration of advanced AI-driven analytics and data science into the entire lifecycle of acquisitions and asset management. By leveraging cutting-edge technology, the firm executes data-driven forecasting on market trends, asset performance, and tenant behavior, ensuring strategic decision-making and optimized returns.

In addition to leading Blue Lake Capital, Ellie is the original founder and host of "REady2Scale - Real Estate Investing" podcast, which provides insights into multifamily real estate, alternative investments, and finance.

Ellie began her career as a commercial real estate attorney, structuring and negotiating complex transactions for one of Israel’s leading development firms. She later transitioned into property management, overseeing over $100M in assets for Israel’s largest energy company.

Ellie holds a Master’s in Law from Bar-Ilan University in Israel and an MBA from MIT Sloan School of Management.

You can learn more about Blue Lake Capital and Ellie Perlman at www.bluelake-capital.com *The content provided on this website, including all downloadable resources, is for informational purposes only and should not be interpreted as financial advice. Furthermore, this material does not constitute an offer to sell or a solicitation of an offer to buy any securities.